Recent Developments & Market Sentiment
Zano has been making some noise lately with a few noteworthy upgrades that are actually changing how people can use it. The partnership with Bitcoin.com is probably the biggest deal here—it brought Zano into the Bitcoin.com Wallet and launched wZANO on Verse DEX, complete with incentives for anyone providing liquidity. These aren’t just flashy announcements; they’re genuinely expanding where and how people can access Zano, which should help with the liquidity issues it’s been facing.
Looking ahead, the 2026 roadmap is packed with serious technical work: two major hard forks, something called Gateway Addresses, and a shift toward full proof-of-stake. It shows the team is still actively building and thinking long-term. They’ve also released a Lite Wallet, which is a smart move for attracting users who want privacy without the hassle of running a full node.
But it’s not all sunshine. Privacy coins are under a microscope right now, and Zano is no exception. Regulators are tightening the screws on anti-money laundering compliance. Zano does have an audit layer that lets you see balances, but it doesn’t trace where funds come from—and that’s exactly what makes some exchanges and institutional players nervous. Combined with liquidity that’s still pretty thin, we could be in for some choppy price action.
Technical Indicators & Chart Mechanics
Right now, Zano is sitting around $9.29, down roughly 2.24% in the past day. The chart isn’t looking great—it’s trading below both the 7-day and 30-day simple moving averages, which puts it in bearish-to-neutral territory. The RSI is hanging out in the mid-30s to low-40s, showing weak momentum but not quite oversold yet. That means there’s still room for it to drift lower before we’d expect any real bounce.
The MACD on both daily and weekly timeframes is negative, which just confirms the downward pressure. Support looks like it’s around $8.00–$8.50, where we’ve seen previous lows and some key Fibonacci levels. Resistance is pretty firm between $10.75 and $11.50—price has tried to break through there before and failed, and those moving averages are now acting like a ceiling.
Other indicators like On-Balance Volume and Volume Profile aren’t encouraging either. Recent volume spikes haven’t led to sustained upward movement, and selling pressure seems to be building as speculative interest fades. A lot of Zano’s supply is locked up in staking, which is good for network security but bad for liquidity when prices start dropping. That makes those support levels both important and fragile.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Strong support: ~$8.00–$8.50 — this zone has held before and lines up with deeper Fibonacci retracements.
Moderate support: ~$9.00 — close to where we are now, but it’s probably weak unless the broader market helps out or we get a bullish signal.
Resistance: ~$10.75–$11.50 — price needs to reclaim this zone to flip sentiment. Breaking above it would be a positive sign.
Critical resistance: ~$12.00+ — this aligns with the 200-day moving average and previous peaks; getting through here would suggest a real shift to an uptrend.
Price Prediction Scenarios
Based on where things stand technically, plus what’s happening in the ecosystem and broader market, here are the two most likely paths forward:
Bullish Scenario
If Zano holds that $8.00–$8.50 support and gets some volume behind it from the recent partnerships or new features, we could see a move up toward resistance. Breaking above $10.75 might push it to $11.50, and if momentum really picks up, $12.50 isn’t out of the question. Getting above those long-term moving averages would flip the overall trend bullish heading into the second and third quarters of 2026.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if that $8.00 support breaks—especially on weak volume—things could get ugly fast. We’d probably see a drop to around $7.50, maybe even down to $6.50 where liquidity is really thin. And if we get more regulatory pressure or exchanges start delisting privacy coins, that downside could come even quicker.
Probable Range & Forecast to Q1–Q2 2026
Looking at everything together, a reasonable near-term target is somewhere between $10.40 and $11.20, assuming that resistance zone holds firm. If things go well—wallet integrations drive usage, volume picks up, or we get some regulatory clarity that doesn’t hurt privacy coins—then $12.00 to $12.50 by mid-2026 is possible. But if $8.00 breaks, we’re probably looking at $6.50–$7.50.
The risks here are real: order books are thin, regulations are unpredictable, and institutions aren’t exactly lining up to buy privacy coins. But if Zano executes on its roadmap and the narrative around privacy improves, the tech underneath is solid enough that patient holders might be rewarded.
