Recent Developments & News Catalysts
Tensor’s been through some pretty major changes lately that could really shake things up for the token. Back on November 21, 2025, the Tensor Foundation took complete control of the Tensor marketplace and decided to funnel all marketplace fees—yes, 100%—straight into the TNSR treasury. Before this, they were only kicking back half. At the same time, they burned roughly 21.6% of unvested founder tokens and locked up the rest of the founders’ vested tokens for another three years. Most people see this as the team trying to show they’re in it for the long haul. That said, plenty of holders weren’t thrilled since there wasn’t much immediate upside for them.
Right around then, TNSR went absolutely wild. The price shot up more than 300% in just one week after those announcements, plus the buzz around Coinbase scooping up the Vector team (part of Tensor Labs) to build better Solana DEX tools. But what goes up fast can come down even faster—TNSR dropped about 60% soon after. The token’s got some serious issues with liquidity and whale concentration. A handful of big wallets control a huge chunk of the supply, which means the price can get whipsawed pretty easily.
Indicator-Based Technical Analysis
Right now, the technicals are painting a mixed but somewhat gloomy picture. On the 4-hour chart, the RSI is hovering around 43.8—not oversold, but definitely leaning bearish. The MACD’s sitting below its signal line with a slightly negative histogram, which backs up that short-term weakness. Price is also trading below both the 4-hour simple and exponential moving averages (around $0.12335 and $0.12272), so there’s resistance right overhead.
Looking at the daily timeframe, the pivot point lands at about $0.11757. From there, resistance levels stack up at roughly $0.12003, $0.12227, and $0.12473, while support sits near $0.11533, $0.11287, and $0.11063. Longer-term moving averages like the 50-day and 200-day are both above the current price, which isn’t a great sign—they’re acting as ceiling rather than floor. Sentiment across most indicators leans bearish too, with quite a few flashing “Sell” or even “Strong Sell” signals, especially on longer timeframes.
Projected Price Paths & Key Levels to Watch
Given where things stand technically, here are two realistic scenarios for the next couple of weeks to a month or so:
– Bearish continuation: If TNSR can’t break back above that $0.1227-$0.1247 resistance zone, we could see more downside. First stop would probably be around $0.1153, then $0.1129 if that doesn’t hold. If it slips below $0.1106, things could get ugly fast—maybe even a drop toward $0.1000, especially if the broader market stays weak.
– Moderate recovery: If buyers decide to show up—maybe because Solana NFT volume picks up or there’s good news on the governance front—TNSR might try to reclaim that resistance. The big test would be getting past $0.1227-$0.1247. Clear that hurdle with solid volume, and we could see a push toward $0.1300.
Support & Resistance Summary Table
Support levels: ~$0.1153, ~$0.1129, ~$0.1106.
Resistance levels: ~$0.1200, ~$0.1227, ~$0.1247.
What It Might Take to Shift the Trend
A few things could really change the game for Tensor. If Solana’s NFT markets start heating up again, that would give TNSR a real reason to exist and grow. Keeping up the deflationary moves—more burns, redirecting fees—could ease some of that supply pressure. And of course, the overall crypto market mood matters a ton. If money starts flowing back into riskier assets, TNSR could catch a bid. On the flip side, if liquidity stays thin, network activity stays weak, or something unexpected goes wrong (protocol bugs, regulatory headaches), we could stay stuck in bearish mode.
Price Prediction: Where TNSR Might Head
Honestly, based on what the charts and news are telling us right now, TNSR looks more likely to drift down and test those lower support zones around $0.110–$0.115 before anything bullish can really take hold. If it manages to flip that resistance decisively, sure, we could see a run up to $0.125–$0.130—but that’s going to need real buying pressure and volume, not just hope. Most likely? We’re probably going to chop around between $0.110 and $0.125 for a bit.
