Recent Developments and Network Upgrades
Back in June 2025, Siacoin rolled out its “v2 hard fork,” bringing some pretty significant improvements to the table. The upgrade introduced Utreexo to speed up node syncing, RHP4 to enhance storage protocols, and required wallet updates across the board—all designed to make the network faster and more secure. Most major exchanges and infrastructure providers got on board with these changes, and the upgrades have been driving a lot of the current interest and optimism around the coin.
Later in 2025, the Sia Foundation pushed out additional SDK improvements and wrapped up the “Final Cut” of the V2 upgrade. This phase focused on fine-tuning how core modules work together, beefing up encryption, and polishing the node client features—basically laying groundwork to make Siacoin more user-friendly and ready for institutional players.
Key Technical Indicators and Price Action
Right now, SC/USDT is trading around $0.0016493, down roughly 3.67% over the last 24 hours—showing some short-term weakness. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting at about 42.46, which puts it below the middle ground but not quite in oversold territory yet. The MACD line is hanging just below its signal line with a slightly negative histogram, suggesting we’ve got some mild bearish momentum going on. The 4-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) is hovering around $0.0016716, while the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is near $0.0016802—both acting as overhead resistance right now.
On the daily chart, we’re looking at support around $0.001605 (S1) with stronger support down at $0.001559 (S2). On the resistance side, there’s a level at roughly $0.001727 (R1), then $0.001803 (R2), and $0.001849 (R3) further up. The daily pivot point sits near $0.001681. The rate-of-change (ROC) indicator over recent sessions is showing about -2.94%, confirming that downward pressure we’re seeing.
Short- to Mid-Term Price Targets and Trade Scenarios
Given where the indicators are sitting, there’s a decent chance we could see a bounce attempt toward that EMA/SMA zone around $0.00168-$0.00170 in the near term. If SC can manage to close a few 4-hour candles above that range, we might see it test resistance near $0.001727. Beyond that, there’s more stubborn resistance waiting at $0.00180-$0.00185, which if broken, could open the door for some real upside movement.
On the downside, if SC breaks below the $0.001605 support level, we’d likely see it drift down to test $0.001559. A clean break under $0.00155 would probably trigger a sharper selloff, potentially reaching lower support zones—especially if the broader market turns bearish.
Longer-Term Outlook & Forecast Ranges
If Siacoin can capitalize on its infrastructure improvements—things like Utreexo, RHP4, and those SDK tools—and if the market gets more interested in decentralized storage again, we could see some bullish targets for 2025 in the range of $0.0035 to $0.0053. That assumes we break through those resistance levels and see real adoption pick up. But in a more neutral or bearish scenario—without strong volume or positive market conditions—we’re probably looking at prices staying below $0.002 or even retesting that mid-$0.0015-$0.0016 support zone.
Risks & Key Catalysts to Watch
There are definitely some risks to keep an eye on: broader economic headwinds hitting altcoins, thin liquidity across exchanges, and the possibility that adoption doesn’t materialize as quickly as hoped. On the flip side, some catalysts that could really move the needle include major product launches like the Sia Storage App, partnerships with enterprise users, clearer regulations around storage-focused blockchain tokens, and steady growth in actual network usage on the Sia platform.
