Recent Developments & Market Context
Over the past few months, Secret Network has been working hard to strengthen its infrastructure, particularly when it comes to privacy, security, and decentralization. In late 2025, the team addressed some serious vulnerabilities that were exposed by the “Wiretap.fail” and “tee.fail” exploits. Their response included migrating to a semi-permissioned validator model and rolling out on-demand seed rotation as part of version 1.21.6. These changes better protect the network’s most sensitive core material. On top of that, governance-based contract upgrades have handed control of SNIP-20 contracts over to the community, which helps boost both decentralization and trust across the ecosystem.
Looking forward to 2026, the roadmap includes even more security improvements. Nodes running on outdated hardware will face certain restrictions, while Proof-of-Cloud verification and Multi-Party Computation (MPC) for network seeds are currently in development. There’s also a plan to decouple from SGX, which would allow validators or other node types to participate in non-secret roles without needing SGX hardware. That said, not everything is moving full speed ahead—EVM compatibility and WASM engine upgrades have been delayed or paused after a closer look at their cost-benefit ratios showed they weren’t quite worth it yet.
Current Technical Condition: Indicators & Price Action
Right now, SCRT/USDT is trading around 0.1386 USDT, which represents a pretty sharp drop of roughly -10.44% over the last 24 hours. The key technical indicators are painting a bearish picture across both short- and medium-term timeframes. If we look at the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting at about 36.76. That suggests there’s some downward pressure, though it’s not in deeply oversold territory just yet. The 4-hour MACD isn’t looking great either—the MACD line is below its signal line with a negative histogram reading, which tells us that upward momentum has basically disappeared.
The 4-hour Simple and Exponential Moving Averages add more context here. The SMA is around 0.1541 and the EMA is approximately 0.1534. Since SCRT’s current price of roughly 0.1386 is well below both of these averages, it confirms the bearish sentiment. When we look at the daily pivot levels, the pivot point is near 0.1401 USDT, with the first resistance level at about 0.1423 USDT (R1) and immediate support down at roughly 0.1365 USDT (S1). If things get really ugly, there’s a more distant support zone that extends down toward 0.1307 USDT (S3).
Short-Term Trading Implications (1-7 Days)
Given the current sell-off, the price will probably find some initial support somewhere in the 0.1307–0.1365 USDT zone. There’s a resistance cluster hanging out around 0.1423–0.1470 USDT, which will be the first real obstacle to any kind of meaningful bounce. If the price can’t catch a bid soon, breaking below roughly 0.1307 would open the door to even deeper support near 0.12 USDT. On the flip side, we might see some relief if the price manages to climb back above both the 4-hour EMA and SMA (around 0.1535 USDT), but that would require buying strength that just isn’t there right now. For anyone looking to go long in the short term, stop-losses should probably be pretty tight—somewhere below roughly 0.130—given how volatile things are and the clear bearish momentum.
Medium-Term to Longer Horizon Outlook (Weeks to Months)
When we zoom out to a longer timeframe, there are some competing forces at work here. On one hand, SCRT’s infrastructure upgrades—like the improved seed rotation, increased community governance over contracts, and enhanced privacy protections—could definitely attract institutional players or users who are sensitive to regulatory concerns. That could provide a solid foundation for price appreciation down the road. On the other hand, there’s meaningful resistance in the roughly 0.15 USDT to 0.18 USDT range that will probably need broader macro support to break through. We’re talking things like stronger overall crypto markets, clearer regulations around privacy coins, or positive sentiment driven by actual application growth, such as SecretAI or SecretVM gaining real traction. If SCRT manages to break and hold above around 0.15 USDT, we might see it target the 0.18–0.20 USDT area. But if the weakness continues, the token could drift lower toward somewhere around 0.08–0.10 USDT in a worst-case scenario, especially if broader market conditions or regulatory winds turn unfavorable.
Strategic Considerations in Light of Regulatory Headwinds
Privacy-focused digital assets are facing more and more regulatory scrutiny around the world. The EU’s MiCA regulation, which went into effect in 2025, puts some pretty strict anti-money laundering rules in place that directly impact privacy features. Secret Network seems to be trying to walk a tightrope here—staying compliant without giving up its core confidentiality features. They’re doing this through design choices like governance-based upgrades, seed rotation, and putting the community in control of secret contracts.
Anyone invested in or using SCRT should keep a close eye on things like potential exchange delistings, changes to privacy regulations in the U.S. (for example, through something like the SAFE Crypto Act), and whether privacy layers end up being treated as assets that need special disclosures. Secret Network’s technical improvements put it in a better position, but regulatory enforcement could still create operational challenges or listing risks that are worth watching out for.
