Recent Developments & Tokenomics Shifts
Ontology rolled out its MainNet v3.0.0 upgrade in late 2025, bringing some significant changes to its token model that aim to make things more sustainable long-term. They cut the ONG supply down from 1 billion to 800 million tokens and locked away 100 million ONG permanently. On top of that, they’re now sending 80% of newly issued ONG rewards straight to ONT stakers, while the remaining 20% goes toward growing the ecosystem. The community approved these changes through on-chain governance, which is pretty cool from a decentralization standpoint.
Another interesting development happened on December 3, 2025, when Ontology joined the Circle Alliance Program. This basically means they now have integrated USDC stablecoin infrastructure, which could open doors for more DeFi activity and potentially attract institutional players. However, there’s a flip side—Binance removed the ONT/BTC margin trading pairs on December 4, which has some people worried about thinner liquidity and reduced trading depth in the short term.
Technical Indicators: Momentum, Resistance, and Risks
Right now, ONT is sitting around $0.06355. Looking at the 4-hour chart, both the simple and exponential moving averages are hovering slightly above the current price at roughly $0.06427 and $0.06433 respectively. This suggests momentum has been cooling off a bit, and there’s some resistance overhead that bulls need to push through.
The MACD histogram shows a slight positive reading, but the MACD line is still trailing below its signal line. Translation? The bullish momentum is pretty weak at the moment, and we might see a pullback unless buyers really step up their game. Meanwhile, the RSI on the 4-hour timeframe is hanging around the mid-range (roughly 46-50), which means we’re in neutral territory—no extreme buying or selling pressure, just consolidation.
When we look at the daily pivot levels, things get a bit clearer. The pivot point is around $0.06393, with the first resistance level near $0.06487 and support down around $0.06257. If ONT manages to break above that resistance, we could see it climb toward $0.06623 and potentially $0.06717. On the other hand, if support fails, the price might slide down to $0.06163 or lower pretty quickly.
Short-Term Predictions (Next Several Days)
Based on what the charts and fundamentals are telling us, ONT will probably bounce around between $0.0625 and $0.0655 over the next few days. If we see increased volume and the resistance near $0.0645 breaks, there’s a decent chance we could rally toward $0.0662. But if that resistance holds firm, expect a potential retest of support levels between $0.0625 and $0.0616. Keep in mind that broader crypto market sentiment and macro conditions will play a huge role in determining which direction we head.
Long-Term Outlook (Weeks to Months)
Looking further out, the supply reduction through the ONG burn and lock-up should theoretically create some bullish pressure over the coming months. If Ontology actually delivers on leveraging that Circle partnership to build out compelling DeFi or identity solutions, we could see demand start to outweigh selling pressure. Key levels to watch would be maintaining support above that daily pivot around $0.0639 and breaking through the MA50/MA100 ranges, which might be sitting around $0.070 depending on how altcoins perform overall.
That being said, we can’t ignore the risks here. Trading volume has been relatively low, the Binance delisting has impacted liquidity, and there are always macro wildcards lurking—regulatory changes, interest rate moves, you name it. Any of these could either stall upward momentum or trigger sharper drops. The support zone between $0.060 and $0.062 will be crucial for preventing any serious downside scenarios from playing out.
