Recent Developments and Ecosystem Drivers
Nervos Network has been making some interesting moves lately on both the tech and community sides. We’re seeing real momentum in late 2025, especially with the expansion of their Bitcoin Layer-2 infrastructure through RGB++ and the Fiber Network. What they’re trying to do here is pretty ambitious—bringing Lightning-style payments, programmable UTXOs, and tighter Bitcoin integration all under one roof. Looking ahead, there’s also talk of quantum-resistance upgrades slated for 2026, which shows they’re thinking about long-term security challenges that most projects aren’t even considering yet. On the practical side, they’re working through some growing pains with governance decentralization and cleaning up their bridge infrastructure, including phasing the Godwoken Bridge to make things smoother for everyday users.
Technical Indicators: Current Price Action and Trend Signals
Right now, CKB/USDT is trading around 0.00259605 USDT, up about 0.541% over the last 24 hours—nothing dramatic, but at least it’s in the green. The 4-hour RSI is sitting at roughly 52.54, which puts it squarely in that middle ground where things could really go either way. What’s more interesting is the MACD on the 4-hour chart—it just crossed positive, with the MACD line now above the signal line. That’s usually a sign that some short-term momentum might be building. Price is also hovering just above the 4-hour SMA (around 0.00255167) and basically testing the EMA (~0.00257980), suggesting we could see a little push upward if this momentum actually holds.
Support, Resistance, and Price Prediction Scenarios
When we look at the daily pivot points, we can see the battlefield pretty clearly. The main resistance starts around 0.0026283 USDT (R1), with the pivot point itself at 0.0026107 USDT. On the flip side, support levels kick in below around 0.0025783 USDT (S1). If buyers really show up with some conviction and push through R1, we’re probably looking at the 0.00265–0.00268 USDT zone becoming the next battle line. But if that resistance holds firm, we’d expect to see some profit-taking that could pull price back down toward S1, maybe even S2 at around 0.0025607 USDT if sellers get aggressive.
Upside Projection
With that bullish MACD crossover and price creeping above the EMA, there’s a decent chance we test resistance around 0.00266–0.00268 USDT in the next few sessions. If that level cracks—and I mean really breaks with good volume—we could be looking at a run toward 0.00275–0.00280 USDT. The ecosystem news coming out lately could definitely help fuel that kind of move, especially if it catches the attention of traders looking for Layer-2 plays.
Downside Risk
Now, let’s be real—if CKB can’t hold above that daily pivot around 0.0026107 USDT and S1 gives way, things could get ugly pretty quick. We’d probably see a slide back toward 0.00256 USDT, with 0.00253 USDT not out of the question if panic sets in. The liquidity situation has been a bit thin lately, and with broader market uncertainty lurking in the background, these downside scenarios are definitely worth keeping in mind.
Final Insight: Balanced, Conditional Neutral-Bullish
Overall, Nervos Network is in an interesting spot right now—cautiously optimistic is probably the best way to describe it. The technicals are starting to wake up with that MACD crossover, the neutral RSI gives room to move, and price action around the EMAs suggests we might see some upside. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves—those resistance levels are right there waiting, and they’re not going to give up without a fight. On the fundamental side, the progress they’re making with ecosystem development, bridge improvements, and quantum-resistance planning adds some real substance that could attract fresh interest.
The big question is whether bulls can punch through that 0.00265–0.00268 USDT resistance zone with enough volume to make it stick. Clear that hurdle, and 0.00280 USDT starts looking realistic. Fail to hold support, though, and we’re probably revisiting the 0.00253–0.00256 USDT area. Keep your eyes on any new announcements around their governance model or Layer-2 tools, watch for volume spikes, and pay attention to liquidity changes—those will be your best clues about where this thing is actually headed.
