Current Market Context and Recent Developments
Livepeer (LPT) is trading around $3.62 USDT right now, down roughly 5.75% in the last 24 hours. This drop isn’t happening in isolation—it’s part of a broader pattern showing weakening bullish momentum across the board. On a brighter note, the Livepeer network recently launched an updated explorer that gives orchestrators and delegators better tools to track yield estimates and live transaction data. This kind of transparency boost is always welcome for governance and network participation.
Looking back, Livepeer’s biggest rallies were fueled by its connection to AI infrastructure narratives and major exchange listings. Around mid-2025, LPT rocketed over 100% thanks to being included in AI-focused indices and gaining mainstream visibility. But like most explosive moves in crypto, these gains were followed by sharp corrections as enthusiasm cooled and sellers took profits. Understanding these historical patterns helps make sense of where we might be headed next.
Technical Indicator Analysis: Weakness Amid Incomplete Recovery
Momentum & Trend Strength
The 4-hour chart shows LPT’s RSI sitting around 37—below the neutral 50 mark but not quite screaming oversold yet. This tells us momentum is bearish, though there’s room for a short-term bounce or stabilization. The MACD paints a similar picture: the line is negative and drifting further from its signal line, with the histogram in negative territory. Translation? Momentum is still bleeding out rather than building back up.
Moving Averages & Pivot Levels
Both the EMA and SMA on the 4-hour chart are hovering just under $3.81, which means they’re acting as resistance right above the current price. Daily pivot analysis puts the main pivot point at roughly $3.66, with resistance levels stacking up between $3.75 and $4.00. On the downside, support zones sit between $3.42 and $3.52. These levels line up nicely with moving averages and give us a roadmap for potential trading zones in the near term.
Price Prediction Scenarios: What’s Next?
Bearish Continuation Scenario
If sellers keep control—especially with volume staying thin and the MACD refusing to flip positive—LPT could slide toward the first real support around $3.50. Break below that, and we’re looking at $3.28 as the next stop, matching up with daily S2 and S3 levels that have held longer-term support before. In this scenario, any recovery back to resistance might have to wait for a catalyst—whether that’s protocol news, network upgrades, or a wave of buying support stepping in.
Recovery or Sideways Consolidation Scenario
On the flip side, if LPT can hold above the $3.60 area and attract buyers near the daily pivot around $3.66, we could see a recovery push toward resistance at $3.75 to $3.80. That zone lines up with the 4-hour moving averages and daily R1. If bulls really show up, a move toward $4.00 isn’t out of the question—but that would need a convincing breakout above resistance with solid volume behind it. Without that conviction, expect more sideways action in the $3.50 to $3.80 range as the market figures out its next move.
Key Levels & Risk Management
For anyone looking to trade or manage positions, here’s what to watch:
- Immediate resistance: $3.75 to $3.80 (moving averages and daily R1)
- Major resistance above: $4.00 (daily R2 and a psychological milestone)
- Support to watch: $3.42 to $3.50 (S1–S2 zone)
- Critical support lower bound: $3.28 (daily S3)
Setting stop-losses just below $3.42 makes sense to protect against sudden bearish moves. Meanwhile, a clean break above $3.80 would likely shift sentiment back in favor of bulls targeting that $4.00 level.
Forecast Outlook
Based on what the technicals are telling us, Livepeer is likely to stay under pressure for the next few days. The most probable scenario is either consolidation or a modest bounce from the $3.50 to $3.60 area, with resistance firmly planted in the $3.75 to $4.00 range. Bulls would need to break above that resistance convincingly to change the medium-term picture. On the other hand, dropping below $3.28 would signal deeper weakness and potentially open the door to lower support zones in the $2.80 to $3.20 range.
