Recent Developments & Market Context
GoPlus Security has been showing some pretty solid real-world usage as we move through early 2026. A recent CoinDesk protocol research report from November 2025 highlighted that the project pulled in around $4.7 million in total revenue. This came mainly from their GoPlus App, SafeToken Protocol, and various API-based security tools that developers are actually using. What’s interesting is that the $GPS token isn’t just sitting there—it’s actively woven into these services. People stake it, pay fees with it, and integrate it into their development workflows across more than 40 different blockchains. So there’s genuine, usage-based demand building up around this token.
That said, things aren’t all rosy. There’s been what some are calling a “circulating supply shock” happening over recent months. Basically, the amount of GPS tokens floating around in the market has jumped significantly—going from roughly 15% to about 29% of total supply. This kind of expansion creates inflation pressure and can put a ceiling on price action unless demand really picks up steam to absorb all those new tokens.
Technical Landscape: Indicators & Price Structure
Right now, GPS is trading at about $0.009413, down roughly 2.74% in the last 24 hours against USDT. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the technical picture is a bit mixed. The Relative Strength Index is sitting around 57.5—that’s in what we’d call neutral-bullish territory. It’s above the 50 midpoint but nowhere near overbought levels, so there’s still room to move either way. The MACD on the 4-hour timeframe shows a slightly negative histogram, though the MACD line is still hugging pretty close to its signal line. Translation: upward momentum hasn’t completely died, but it’s not exactly firing on all cylinders either.
When we look at moving averages on that same timeframe, both the 4-hour SMA and EMA are pointing to support levels around $0.00884 and $0.00883 respectively—just a hair below where we’re trading now. Those could act as safety nets if we see a pullback. On the flip side, daily pivot points are suggesting resistance around the $0.00999 to $0.01164 range, with support levels stepping down from about $0.00834 to roughly $0.00669.
Short-Term Pattern Analysis
In the shorter timeframes, GPS looks like it’s consolidating—basically trading in a range without much conviction in either direction. Volume spikes tend to show up when the price weakens, which hints at some bearish pressure lurking around. But there’s also been decent buy-side strength showing up near that $0.0088–$0.0090 zone that’s prevented any serious drops. The overall signal is neutral to slightly bullish given where the RSI is sitting and the MACD’s relatively flat behavior. What traders should really watch for is a breakout above that $0.0099 resistance level or a breakdown below $0.0088—either move would give us a clearer picture of where this is heading next.
Forecast Scenarios & Price Projections
Taking everything into account—the technical indicators, fundamental developments, and general market vibes—there are three realistic scenarios that could play out for GPS over the coming weeks and months.
Scenario A – Moderate Bullish Breakout: If developer adoption keeps climbing and users continue engaging with the platform—especially if there are new product launches like a completed Governance Portal rollout or expansions to SafeToken—GPS could break through that near-term resistance at $0.0099–$0.0105. If it manages to hold above that zone with conviction, we could see it stretch toward $0.011–$0.012, with the 200-day simple moving average eventually coming into play as the next resistance level. This scenario assumes that upcoming token unlocks get absorbed by the market without triggering major sell-offs.
Scenario B – Sideways to Mild Decline: Given the headwinds from token emission schedules and supply inflation, plus the general uncertainty in the broader crypto market, GPS might just chop around between that $0.0088 support and $0.0099 resistance for the next several weeks. If the overall altcoin market turns sour—maybe due to macro shocks or regulatory concerns—price could drift down toward lower support around $0.0075–$0.0080. This feels like the baseline scenario if we get neutral to slightly bearish market conditions without any major catalysts.
Scenario C – Bearish Break / Demand Shock: If things take a turn for the worse—think larger-than-expected token unlocks, declining developer interest, or a general risk-off mood in crypto—GPS could crack below that $0.0088 level and accelerate downward toward $0.0070–$0.0065. These levels line up with support pivot points and moving averages that have held during previous pullbacks. If we break through those, we could see even deeper corrections unless something fundamental changes, like a new token burn mechanism or major demand catalyst.
Probability Weighting & Key Triggers
Based on everything we’re seeing right now:
- Probability of Scenario A (Bullish Breakout): ~30–40% — this needs both a technical breakout and some positive fundamental news to fuel it.
- Scenario B (Sideways to Mild Decline): ~40–50% — this feels most likely if things just stay the course or we get mildly negative news.
- Scenario C (Bearish Breakdown): ~20–30% — only if we get hit with clear negative catalysts.
Key things to keep your eye on:
- Any upcoming major token unlocks or vesting events—and whether there’s a clear schedule published so the market can price it in.
- New partnerships or product integrations that actually increase usage of the GPS token for fees or staking.
- Overall crypto market sentiment—what Bitcoin and Ethereum are doing matters, as does any regulatory drama that could drag down altcoins broadly.
- Whether that support zone around $0.0088–$0.0090 holds up—an early break below this level could shift momentum pretty quickly toward the bearish scenario.
