Latest Developments and Market Sentiment
Flow caught everyone’s attention for the wrong reasons on December 27, 2025, when hackers exploited a vulnerability in the execution layer and made off with around $3.9 million. Validators acted quickly and shut down the network to stop the bleeding. The main Cadence chain came back online without rolling back any transactions, keeping everything intact, but the EVM side is still locked in read-only mode while they sort things out. Naturally, this whole mess has traders feeling pretty nervous right now.
That said, it’s not all doom and gloom. The Flow team has been busy building partnerships and improving how the blockchain works with other networks through LayerZero and Axelar integrations. DeFi activity is picking up, and they’re making progress on stablecoin infrastructure too. These developments could really pay off down the road, though everyone’s still on edge while the recovery plays out.
Technical Indicators: Current Picture
Right now, FLOW is sitting at about $0.09812, up roughly 4.11% over the last 24 hours. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hanging around 54.93, which suggests there’s a bit of bullish momentum building without things getting overheated. The MACD line is still in negative territory but it’s climbing toward the signal line, and the histogram shows a positive reading of about 0.000894. This hints that we might see some upward movement in the near term.
The key support levels to watch are roughly $0.087, $0.083, and $0.079, while resistance sits near $0.095, $0.099, and $0.103. The 4-hour simple moving average comes in around $0.08583, and the exponential moving average is at $0.08912. Since the current price is above both of these, it shows that recent buying pressure has pushed FLOW above its short-term averages.
Forecasts & Price Projection Scenarios
When you factor in the technical setup, fundamentals, and recent events, there are three realistic scenarios for where FLOW might head over the next couple of months:
Scenario A: Moderate Bullish Recovery
If confidence starts coming back and the team shows they’ve got things under control post-hack, FLOW could push up to test that $0.095–$0.103 resistance zone. Breaking cleanly above $0.103 might open the door to $0.110–$0.115. For this to happen, we’d probably need to see the MACD histogram keep climbing and the RSI break above 60.
Scenario B: Consolidation or Sideways Movement
If traders stay cautious and on the sidelines, FLOW will likely bounce around between support at $0.087 and resistance near $0.100. Those moving averages around $0.086–$0.089 should provide a cushion on the downside. Without strong volume coming in, we’ll probably see the price get rejected at resistance repeatedly. In this scenario, the MACD would hover near zero and the RSI would just chop between 45 and 60.
Scenario C: Bearish Breakdown
If FLOW can’t hold that $0.087 support level, things could get ugly pretty fast. The next stops would be $0.083 and $0.079. If the RSI drops toward 30 and the MACD turns decisively negative, we might even see prices fall below $0.079. Anyone holding short-term positions would definitely want to have tight stop-losses in place for this scenario.
Long-term Outlook and Considerations
Looking beyond the immediate technical picture, Flow’s got some solid fundamentals working in its favor. The cross-chain integrations, growing DeFi ecosystem, and improved developer tools all point toward potential long-term growth. That said, price predictions for 2026 and beyond are all over the map—some analysts are bullish, others not so much. It really depends on whether real user demand shows up.
If you’re thinking about a 6-12 month investment timeline, you’ll want to keep an eye on development progress, security updates, and whether people are actually using the platform. The long-term upside really comes down to whether we see a broader crypto market recovery, clearer regulations, and whether Flow can keep innovating in its sweet spot of consumer apps and Web3 experiences.
