Recent Developments and Market Context
Axelar just landed a pretty significant funding round—over $30 million from some heavyweight investors like Arrington Capital and Electric Capital. The money’s going straight into supporting the protocol’s core infrastructure, especially the rewards system for verifiers who secure cross-chain messages. Now, it’s worth noting that part of this investment came from ecosystem tokens that were previously locked up in foundation reserves, and many of these new investors agreed to lockup periods of 6 to 12 months. Still, this kind of institutional backing shows real confidence in where Axelar’s headed.
On the development side, things have been moving fast. Axelar’s been building out connections left and right—hooking up with XRPL’s EVM Sidechain, bridging into Hedera, Solana, and Arbitrum. These integrations aren’t just checkboxes; they’re positioning Axelar as a critical piece of infrastructure for cross-chain DeFi, tokenization projects, and real-world asset platforms. The interoperability story is getting stronger.
But here’s where things get complicated. Despite all the positive fundamentals, the market sentiment has turned pretty bearish. The main culprit? Circle’s acquisition of Interop Labs back in mid-December 2025. Here’s the thing—that deal didn’t include the AXL token or its governance structure. The network’s now being managed by a new entity called Common Prefix, and investors are understandably nervous about whether this new leadership can execute on Axelar’s ambitious roadmap. The token price has taken a beating, and uncertainty is hanging over everything.
Key Technical Levels & Indicators
Right now, AXL is sitting around $0.07481, down a bit over 2.5% in the last 24 hours. If you’re watching the charts, the immediate support zones to keep an eye on are around $0.07270 and $0.07060, with a more significant floor near $0.06840. On the flip side, resistance is stacking up at $0.07700, then $0.07920, and further up at $0.08130.
Zooming into the 4-hour charts from Binance, here’s what the indicators are telling us:
The RSI is hovering around 42.6—that puts us in mildly bearish territory, though we’re not oversold yet. The MACD is sitting below its signal line with a negative histogram, which typically means bearish momentum is still in play. Looking at moving averages, the 4-hour SMA is at about $0.07793, while the EMA sits at roughly $0.07674. With AXL trading below both of these, it’s pretty clear that sellers are still calling the shots in the short term.
Scenario-Based Price Prediction
When you mix the technical picture with everything that’s been happening news-wise, we’re looking at two main scenarios playing out over the next couple of weeks. The critical zones to watch are resistance around $0.0770–$0.0792 and support in the $0.0727–$0.0706 range.
Bullish Reversal Potential
If buyers can step in and hold that $0.0727-$0.0706 support zone, we could see a bounce that tests resistance near $0.0770. Get a daily close above $0.0792, and suddenly we’re looking at a potential move toward $0.0813. In a really bullish scenario—and this would need strong volume and a clear shift in MACD momentum—we might even see AXL push toward $0.0900. But for any of this to stick, we’d need to see price reclaim those daily 50 and 200 EMAs. That’s when the longer-term trend really starts to shift.
Bearish Breakdown Risk
On the other hand, if that $0.0706 support doesn’t hold, things could get ugly fast. A break below would likely send us down to test $0.0684, and if the selling pressure keeps up, we could be looking at $0.0600 or lower. The current MACD staying bearish and price remaining below the key moving averages would support this downward path. And honestly, with sentiment already shaky after the Circle acquisition, if Common Prefix stumbles on execution or we don’t get any positive catalysts soon, this bearish scenario becomes increasingly likely.
Chart Preview
Below is the latest price chart for AXL/USDT, showing the recent trading action, key support and resistance levels, and the overall trend direction.
