Current Context & Protocol Fundamentals
Venus Protocol just bounced back from a pretty serious phishing attack that happened in early September 2025. Around $13.5 million in assets got drained from a user’s wallet after they unknowingly approved malicious transactions. But the team’s response was actually impressive—they paused everything, used governance to force-liquidate the attacker’s positions, and got things back online within 12 hours. This quick action helped prevent wider damage and showed users that the security systems could still work when it mattered.
Since then, Venus has been busy upgrading security across the board. They’ve hardened the Core Pool Comptroller contract, tightened up governance policies through VIP-515, and added better protections on the frontend. All of this is designed to rebuild user confidence and prove the protocol can handle real threats.
At the same time, Venus hasn’t just been playing defense. They’ve been expanding markets onto Unichain, Ethereum, zkSync, and Arbitrum, adding more collateral options, and even launching burn and buyback programs to strengthen tokenomics. These moves could create real upside for XVS holders down the line.
Technical Price Overview: Indicators & Key Levels
Right now, vBUSD/USDT is sitting around $0.02230, up about 5% over the last 24 hours. The technical picture is mixed but leaning cautiously bullish. Most of the moving averages—from short-term (3, 5, 10 days) all the way out to long-term (50, 100, 200 days)—are showing bullish alignment, which suggests upward momentum across different timeframes.
That said, some oscillators are flashing warning signs. The Stochastic RSI is in overbought territory, and Williams Percent Range is sitting neutral to slightly bearish. These readings hint that we might see a short-term pullback or some sideways action before the next leg up. The ADX also shows trend strength is pretty weak right now, so any continuation would really need volume to back it up.
On the resistance side, we’re looking at an initial ceiling around $0.02450–$0.02540, with a closer hurdle near $0.02278. If the price breaks through those levels with strong volume, the higher targets become realistic. For support, there’s a cluster around $0.02014, with more solid footing at $0.01750 if things pull back.
Short-Term Forecast (Next 1-2 Weeks)
If vBUSD holds above the $0.02050–$0.02100 zone—which is both psychological and technical support—bullish momentum could push it toward $0.02450. Breaking through that level on solid volume might open the door to $0.02525 in the near term. But those overbought signals suggest we could see some resistance or consolidation in the $0.02250–$0.02450 range. A drop below $0.02050 would flip the technical picture bearish and bring $0.01750 support back into play.
Medium-Term Outlook (Next 1-3 Months)
If the recovery efforts and security upgrades keep restoring community trust, vBUSD could realistically push into the $0.02540–$0.02800 range over the next couple months. This is especially likely if the broader DeFi market sentiment improves. Ongoing development activity, the tokenomics improvements from burns and buybacks, and cross-chain expansion all create tailwinds that could support those gains. On the flip side, macro headwinds like rising interest rates, tighter crypto regulations, or general weakness in altcoins could cap the upside or push prices back down to the $0.01800–$0.02000 support zone.
