Recent Developments and Fundamental Drivers
VeThor Token (VTHO), which serves as the gas token for the VeChainThor ecosystem, has seen some pretty big structural changes recently. The “Hayabusa” upgrade went live on December 2nd, 2025, and it fundamentally changed how VTHO works. Instead of VET holders passively earning rewards, the system now requires staking—and here’s the kicker: all base gas fees get burned. This creates a deflationary mechanism that could really shake up market dynamics. Then there’s the “Interstellar” phase coming in 2026, which promises better interoperability and developer tools like JSON-RPC integration. It’s clear VeChain is playing the long game here, focusing on making VTHO more sustainable and useful over time.
Beyond the tokenomics overhaul, there are some interesting ecosystem plays happening. Take VeBetterDAO, for instance—it’s a platform that rewards eco-friendly behavior with B3TR tokens while using VTHO as the gas token. It’s an interesting angle that appeals to the environmentally conscious crowd. Plus, they launched a new staking program back in July 2025 with over 5.3 billion VTHO set aside as rewards. As transaction volumes pick up and more people get involved in staking, we could see demand start to build.
Technical Analysis: Indicators and Key Levels
Right now, VTHO/USDT is sitting at around 0.00093345 USDT, down about 0.86% over the last 24 hours. The price is trading below both the 4-hour Simple Moving Average (around 0.00094870) and the Exponential Moving Average (roughly 0.00094623), which tells us the short-term momentum is leaning bearish.
The 4-hour Relative Strength Index is hovering around 44.13—not quite oversold, but definitely tilting toward seller territory. The MACD histogram is slightly negative, showing that momentum is pretty weak at the moment. If we look at daily pivot points, resistance is sitting near 0.00095933, with support levels dropping down to around 0.00087533. That’s a fairly tight trading range we’re working with here.
Short-to-Medium Term Price Forecast
Based on what the technicals are showing, it looks like VTHO might keep struggling below that resistance level near 0.0009593. If it manages to break through with decent volume and some bullish sentiment behind it, we could see a move toward 0.00102 or even 0.00115. On the flip side, if support around 0.0009027 to 0.0008753 doesn’t hold, we might be looking at a slide down to the 0.00080-0.00085 range over the next few days.
Looking ahead to January 2026, various algorithmic forecasts are suggesting potential upside to about 0.001322 USDT—that would be around 29-30% higher than where we are now. But that’s assuming things normalize, network usage increases, and more people jump into staking. The reality is that broader market sentiment is still pretty bearish, with weak altcoin liquidity and plenty of macro risks hanging around.
Conditions That Could Warp the Forecast
For the upside scenario to play out, we really need a few things to happen: transaction demand has to grow enough to fuel meaningful VTHO burn rates, enterprise users need to actually onboard and generate high-volume activity, and the new staking model needs to work smoothly without major hiccups. On the other hand, if adoption stalls, gas usage stays low, or we hit broader economic turbulence, the deflationary mechanics alone might not be enough to push prices higher.
Bottom line: while the recent protocol changes make VTHO look more attractive from a long-term structural perspective, the current technicals suggest we’re more likely to see consolidation or even a modest dip before any real sustained rally. Traders should keep a close eye on those resistance and support levels as key decision points in the short term.
