Recent News & Market Context
As of mid-December 2025, Zano (ticker: ZANO) is trading near $11.37, down about 3.25% over the last 24 hours. It’s been quite a ride lately – just a few weeks ago in early November, ZANO was on fire, rallying over 20% on the weekly charts and pushing toward highs around $16.50. Traders were eyeing a potential breakout above $17.80 that could’ve sent prices toward the $22.50–$24.80 range. But that momentum didn’t hold, and we’ve since pulled back significantly to where we are now.
On the development front, there’s actually some encouraging news. Zano recently integrated with ChangeHero, a non-KYC swap platform, which should help with liquidity and accessibility. They’re also working on some interesting features like alias auctions and a complete overhaul of the transaction interface expected to roll out in Q1 2026. These updates could be meaningful for long-term adoption. That said, privacy coins like Zano are walking a tightrope with regulators, and some exchanges have already delisted ZANO or are considering it due to compliance concerns. It’s a real headwind worth watching.
Technical Indicators & Price Structure
Looking at the charts, the picture isn’t particularly pretty right now. Most technical indicators are flashing “Strong Sell” signals for ZANO/USDT. The short-term moving averages – your 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day – are all sitting above current price levels, which typically means downward pressure. Even the 200-day moving average is higher, hovering around $12.20-$12.30. Meanwhile, momentum indicators like MACD, Williams %R, and CCI are all in negative territory. Not exactly what bulls want to see.
Here’s the thing though – we’re seeing some pretty extreme oversold readings. The RSI on the daily chart is showing levels that historically suggest exhaustion to the downside. Williams %R is deeply oversold, and some exponential moving averages are pointing to support near $10.84. When things get this stretched, we often see at least a temporary bounce, especially if any buying interest materializes. It’s not a guarantee, but it’s worth noting.
Support & Resistance Levels
Here’s where things stand from a levels perspective:
– Immediate resistance is clustered around $12.00–$12.50. If price can push through that zone, we’d be looking at stronger resistance between $13.00 and $14.00.
– Support looks a bit shaky right now. There’s some modest support around $11.50, but the more substantial floor is down near $10.84. If that breaks, we could easily see $10.00 or lower tested.
Price Outlook: Scenarios & Projections
With ZANO sitting around $11.37, let’s break down what could happen in the coming weeks and months based on what we’re seeing technically and fundamentally.
Short Term (Next 1-3 Weeks)
The smart money approach here is probably expecting choppy range-bound trading between $10.84 on the downside and roughly $12.50 on the upside. If volume stays weak and buyers don’t show up, there’s a real risk we test that $10.84 support level, possibly even dipping toward $10.00. On the flip side, if we get some buying interest – maybe from oversold conditions or positive news – a move up to $12.50 isn’t out of the question. Just keep in mind that resistance could be tough to crack without a broader shift in sentiment.
Medium Term (1-3 Months into Q1 2026)
This is where things get interesting. If Zano actually delivers on those roadmap items – the consensus upgrade, the alias auction platform, the improved DEX interface – we could see some renewed enthusiasm. In a bullish scenario, reclaiming $13.50+ and pushing toward $14.50-$15.00 seems achievable. But let’s be real: if regulatory pressure intensifies or liquidity continues to dry up, we could just as easily be looking at $10 or lower. Some forecasting models are projecting around $11.79 for one month out, which suggests modest upside but nothing dramatic.
Long Term (By End of 2025 into 2026 and Beyond)
The long-term picture is where speculation really comes into play. Some pricing models are throwing out numbers in the $25-30 range for 2026, but those assume everything goes right – Zano pushes past its previous highs, the ecosystem grows substantially, and regulators don’t slam the door shut. That’s a lot of “ifs.” In a bearish scenario, upside stays capped under $15, and there’s real risk of falling below $10 if things don’t improve. It really comes down to execution and market conditions.
Final Observations
Zano is sitting at a crossroads right now. The technicals are pretty bearish overall, but we’re also seeing oversold conditions that historically lead to at least temporary bounces. Long-term success really depends on whether the team can deliver on their development roadmap and whether their privacy-focused features can attract meaningful adoption despite the regulatory headwinds. If you’re trading this, tight stops near those support levels make sense – this isn’t the time to be a hero. For long-term holders, you’re basically betting on the team’s ability to execute and build a sustainable ecosystem throughout 2026. It’s definitely not without risk, but the potential is there if things fall into place.
