Recent Developments & Market Context
Monad (MON) went live with its public mainnet on November 24, 2025, attracting serious institutional backing after pulling in nearly $269 million during its token sale. The platform is built as an EVM-compatible layer-1 blockchain that can handle up to 10,000 transactions per second thanks to parallel execution—putting it in the same conversation as other high-speed blockchains that have been getting a lot of buzz lately. Integration with popular wallets like MetaMask and Phantom has made it easier for people to access, and the team’s acquisition of Portal Labs shows they’re serious about building out stablecoin and payment infrastructure.
That said, things haven’t been all sunshine. MON has dropped roughly 55 to 60 percent from its peak around $0.0489, and now it’s stuck in what looks like a consolidation phase. Trading volume is still pretty healthy though, which tells us traders are still paying attention. One thing to keep in mind: only about 10–11% of the total supply is actually circulating right now. That tight float can create wild price swings whenever there’s news or a sudden surge in buying or selling pressure.
Technical Indicators & Key Levels
Support & Resistance Zones
Looking at the charts, the main support levels to watch are around $0.0247, $0.0216, and a more critical zone near $0.0199. These are areas where buyers have stepped in before, so they could act as a safety net if the selling continues. On the flip side, resistance is stacked up higher—first around $0.0295, then $0.0312 and $0.0344. MON needs to push through these levels convincingly if we’re going to see any real bullish momentum build.
Momentum & Oscillator Readings
Right now, the daily chart isn’t looking great. Most of the moving averages—short-term and long-term—are flashing “sell” signals. In fact, according to Bitget’s data, all 14 moving averages they track are pointing down. The RSI is sitting somewhere in neutral territory, hovering in the high-40s to low-50s depending on which platform you check. The MACD is either weakly bearish or just kind of flat, which means there isn’t much juice behind any potential move up. Bottom line: momentum is weak at best.
Volatility & Market Behavior
MON’s trading volume compared to its market cap is unusually high—often over 40%—which shows there’s a lot of active trading happening. But high turnover isn’t always a good thing; it can also mean bigger downside risk. The price action has been pretty wild, swinging from a cycle low around $0.0167 to quick rebounds that come and go fast. Sentiment gauges like the Fear & Greed Index have MON deep in “Extreme Fear” territory. That could mean we’re near a capitulation point, or it might signal that a bottom is forming—it’s tough to say for sure.
Price Prediction Scenarios
Bearish Outcome (if price breaks support)
If MON can’t hold that $0.0216–$0.0199 support zone, things could get ugly fast. A clean break below $0.0199 might send the price down toward the $0.017–$0.018 range, possibly retesting that earlier cycle low. This scenario becomes more likely if there’s a wave of selling from token unlocks or if the broader altcoin market takes a dive.
Bullish Reversal (if resistance is cleared)
For the bulls to take control again, MON really needs to crack through that first resistance at $0.0295. If it does—especially on solid volume—it could pave the way toward $0.031–$0.034. Beyond that, getting back to the all-time high near $0.0489 becomes a real possibility, but that’s more of a medium-term goal. It would need the ecosystem to keep growing, consistent product rollouts, and a friendlier overall market to make that happen.
Neutral / Range Trading Projection
Without a major catalyst or shift in the market, MON will probably just chop around between $0.020 and $0.030 over the next few weeks. The support around $0.0199–$0.0216 and resistance near $0.0295 are going to be the key battlegrounds. If you’re into range trading or looking for quick entries, there might be some opportunities in these swings—just know the risk gets higher the closer you get to either end of the range.
Strategic Insights for Investors & Traders
Managing your risk is absolutely crucial here. With most moving averages pointing down and oscillators looking shaky, it makes sense to set stop-losses below that key support around $0.0199 to protect yourself from bigger losses. If you’re betting on upside, wait for a confirmed break above $0.0295 with strong volume before jumping in—that’ll give you better odds. Long term, keep an eye on the fundamentals: things like total value locked, active users, staking numbers, and actual dApp usage. Those are what will tell you whether Monad is becoming more than just another speculative play.
